Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 420.511557 478.898303 544.089590 622.571182 714.879858 820.475932 951.089322
2025-09-28 318.719484 390.533259 478.079742 593.773633 744.306213 935.836834 1201.698731
2025-10-05 281.552158 362.643553 467.682383 615.969842 823.607460 1109.675691 1543.767113
2025-10-12 257.983824 345.998268 465.804942 644.518606 910.893909 1304.202305 1950.495768
2025-10-19 232.596829 322.258233 449.315499 647.639316 959.125780 1447.055926 2306.626884
2025-10-26 206.879147 294.316653 422.375795 629.937396 970.627808 1532.023717 2583.042433
2025-11-02 187.150426 272.628295 401.585265 617.888734 987.643121 1626.455868 2893.701513
2025-11-09 177.214253 264.458025 400.140161 635.948650 1056.584785 1820.831109 3435.114331
2025-11-16 164.595754 250.669223 388.019789 634.087938 1089.506266 1954.327872 3886.457958
2025-11-23 152.437107 236.379086 373.438146 625.788642 1108.756963 2063.984071 4313.198451
2025-11-30 143.836646 227.077895 366.142217 629.328142 1150.498209 2225.361817 4899.260863
2025-12-07 133.656845 214.210474 351.411440 617.219610 1159.210791 2318.409554 5345.358477
2025-12-14 125.655459 204.592903 341.803847 614.309482 1187.620980 2462.987735 5975.433383
2025-12-21 114.852380 189.266553 320.641666 586.586763 1159.846451 2475.017815 6253.784035
2025-12-28 111.866989 187.541573 324.152721 608.427146 1243.253418 2767.311228 7432.796572
2026-01-04 109.835703 187.331608 330.401990 636.561194 1345.498673 3129.685083 8970.995186
2026-01-11 104.944042 181.427939 325.152528 639.636029 1389.377975 3350.097647 10137.031070
2026-01-18 98.184289 171.515645 311.209052 622.193140 1380.657759 3425.178892 10825.042130
2026-01-25 92.592390 163.447673 300.294471 610.320005 1384.218149 3536.442128 11697.592738
2026-02-01 90.444932 161.872087 302.355726 628.116584 1467.021313 3900.768997 13741.294419
2026-02-08 86.540544 156.566861 296.280529 626.283069 1497.506553 4112.748769 15259.730275
2026-02-15 82.344064 150.402077 287.919352 618.104897 1509.446506 4268.934091 16614.259129
2026-02-22 79.471531 146.712505 284.523468 621.592776 1554.834137 4548.124827 18716.578843